| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.4% | 41% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 75% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.4% | 57% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 52% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.6% | 28.0% | 35.4% |
| xgboost | 34.1% | 27.4% | 38.5% |
| logistic | 38.7% | 28.2% | 33.1% |
| QPR | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1634 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1634 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Birmingham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Birmingham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Derby | 4 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Derby | 4 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | West Ham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | West Ham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | West Ham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Norwich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Apr 2026 | QPR | 1 - 2 | Swansea |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Swansea | 0 - 1 | QPR |
| 21 Apr 2025 | QPR | 1 - 2 | Swansea |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Swansea | 3 - 0 | QPR |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Swansea | 0 - 1 | QPR |
| 19 Sep 2023 | QPR | 1 - 1 | Swansea |
| 21 Jan 2023 | QPR | 1 - 1 | Swansea |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Swansea | 1 - 0 | QPR |
| 07 May 2022 | Swansea | 0 - 1 | QPR |
| 25 Jan 2022 | QPR | 0 - 0 | Swansea |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.98 | 33.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.47 | 28.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.46 | 40.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.94 | 51.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |