| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.4% | 36% | +28.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.7% | 64% | +24.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.4% | 50% | +35.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.6% | 57% | +4.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 77.9% | 14.5% | 7.6% |
| xgboost | 54.5% | 26.0% | 19.5% |
| logistic | 79.2% | 15.7% | 5.1% |
| Celtic | Celta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1922 | 1639 |
| Surface Elo | 1922 | 1639 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Hearts | 7 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Benfica | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Alaves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Alaves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Juventus | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Elche | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Elche | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.56 | 28.1% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.82 | 35.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |