| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.9% | 67% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| logistic | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Diego Dedura | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1623 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1623 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 0.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 5 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Frazier Rengifo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alex Barrena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |