| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.4% | 58% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.7% | 83% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.3% | 75% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 68% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | 33% | +30.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.0% | 23.3% | 42.8% |
| xgboost | 16.4% | 19.8% | 63.9% |
| logistic | 16.6% | 23.8% | 59.6% |
| Scunthorpe | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1447 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1447 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 2.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Harrogate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Carlisle | 2 - 4 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Solihull | 3 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Eastleigh | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Carlisle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Worthing | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Boston Utd | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Forest Green | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | Scunthorpe |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Scunthorpe | 1 - 1 | Boreham Wood |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Boreham Wood | 2 - 0 | Scunthorpe |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Scunthorpe | 0 - 2 | Boreham Wood |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 16 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 16 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 16 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 16 Sep 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 16 Sep 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |