| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.6% | 58% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 26.9% | 73.0% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Raul Brancaccio | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1612 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1612 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Mika Petkovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Jaume Munar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Brunclik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | Raul Brancaccio |
| 02 Feb 2026 | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | Raul Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 21 Sep 06:15 |