| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.6% | 72% | -13.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| logistic | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Lucas Poullain | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1584 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1584 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Trufelli, Timeo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Gijs Brouwer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Yannik Kelm | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |