| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 52% | +1.9% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Cameron Norrie | Denis Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1879 | 1868 |
| Surface Elo | 1879 | 1868 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Aug | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Aug 2026 | Cameron Norrie | 1 - 2 | Denis Shapovalov |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 0 | Denis Shapovalov |
| 14 Jun 2021 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 0 | Denis Shapovalov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.92 | 52.1% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |