| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.8% | 74% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.0% | 26.9% |
| logistic | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Lorenzo Angelini | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1452 | 1416 |
| Surface Elo | 1452 | 1416 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Matteo Gribaldo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Arthur Bellegy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Raffaele Ciurnelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Adrian Constantin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Miles Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Pavlos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Filip Krolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |