| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.3% | 64% | -18.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 76% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.2% | 79% | -19.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 56% | +7.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | 33% | +30.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 23.7% | 21.6% | 54.6% |
| logistic | 22.6% | 26.9% | 50.5% |
| Torino | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1828 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1828 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 7 W · 2 D |
| 05 Sep | A | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Sassuolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Juventus | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 May | A | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Lecce | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Fiorentina | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Verona | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Lazio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Torino | 0 - 2 | Roma |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Torino |
| 25 May 2025 | Torino | 0 - 2 | Roma |
| 31 Oct 2024 | Roma | 1 - 0 | Torino |
| 26 Feb 2024 | Roma | 3 - 2 | Torino |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Torino | 1 - 1 | Roma |
| 08 Apr 2023 | Torino | 0 - 1 | Roma |
| 13 Nov 2022 | Roma | 1 - 1 | Torino |
| 20 May 2022 | Torino | 0 - 3 | Roma |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Roma | 1 - 0 | Torino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 14 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 14 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 6.00 | 16.7% | 14 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 14 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 14 Sep 17:30 |