| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 71% | -17.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.1% | 48.8% |
| logistic | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Philip Henning | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1607 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1607 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Louis Wessels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Antoine Walch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Robin Catry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Romain Andres | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 24 Oct 06:15 |