| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.2% | 21% | +30.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| logistic | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Jake Delaney | Bar Biryukov, Petr | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1398 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1398 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Shiraishi, Hikaru | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Hikaru Shiraishi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Hayato Matsuoka | 2 - 1 | W |
| No results yet. |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.80 | 20.8% | 15 Sep 09:05 |