| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.8% | 70% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| logistic | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | Izan Almazan Valiente |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.15 | 31.8% | 14 Oct 06:15 |