| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.4% | 51% | +1.7% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.6% | 76% | +3.2% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.6% | 66% | +4.4% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 72% | -17.8% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.7% | 28.9% | 33.4% |
| xgboost | 57.0% | 26.1% | 16.9% |
| logistic | 60.2% | 25.1% | 14.6% |
| Salford | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Walsall | 4 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Bristol Rvs | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Bristol Rovers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Crawley Town | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Crawley Town | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bristol City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Bristol City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Derby | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Derby | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |