| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 58% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Sebastian Baez | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1680 | 1672 |
| Surface Elo | 1680 | 1672 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Rest days | 8 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Daniel Merida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Tomas Machac | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Hugo Gaston | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |