OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Spain LaLiga · Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:15 UTC · finished
Sociedad 2.40 1 - 0 1.60 Vallecano
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.3%58%-8.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 74.9%82%-6.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 65.1%75%-10.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.9%64%-1.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 61.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.7%25.9%26.3%
xgboost50.3%24.8%24.8%
logistic46.5%27.3%26.2%
Inputs the models saw
SociedadVallecano
Elo (pre-match)16431646
Surface Elo16431646
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.60
Form trend0.600.10
Season points per game2.251.50
Season goals for / game2.751.50
Season goals against / game1.751.50
Rest days68
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W2 W · 5 D
Sociedad: last 5
05 NovHLyon1 - 1D
01 NovAAthletic Club1 - 2L
01 NovAAthletic Club1 - 2L
31 OctHGirona1 - 0W
25 OctHLevante2 - 1W
Vallecano: last 5
07 NovHFuenlabrada2 - 0W
31 OctAMexico FC1 - 1D
31 OctHCelta3 - 0W
31 OctHCelta3 - 0W
27 OctARC Recreativo de Huelva1 - 1D
Head to head
26 Apr 2026Vallecano3 - 3Sociedad
05 Oct 2025Sociedad0 - 1Vallecano
16 Mar 2025Vallecano2 - 2Sociedad
18 Aug 2024Sociedad1 - 2Vallecano
27 Jan 2024Sociedad0 - 0Vallecano
29 Oct 2023Vallecano2 - 2Sociedad
22 Apr 2023Sociedad2 - 1Vallecano
21 Jan 2023Vallecano0 - 2Sociedad
01 May 2022Vallecano1 - 1Sociedad
22 Aug 2021Sociedad1 - 0Vallecano
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.6821.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.2723.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7258.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5763.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC