| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.4% | 84% | -1.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.3% | 14.6% |
| logistic | 80.8% | 19.2% |
| Benjamin Bonzi | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1812 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1812 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 2 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Taylor Fritz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Taylor Fritz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Yannick Hanfmann | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Tallon Griekspoor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Martin Damm | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Aziz Dougaz | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.55 | 22.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |