| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.9% | 85% | -16.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| logistic | 74.3% | 25.7% |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1870 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1870 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Dusan Lajovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Dusan Lajovic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Jaume Munar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Sebastian Ofner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Marko Topo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | Facundo Diaz Acosta |
| 15 Sep 2025 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 0 - 2 | Facundo Diaz Acosta |
| 22 Jul 2024 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 1 - 2 | Facundo Diaz Acosta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |