| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.5% | 82% | -16.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 90.0% | 99% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 87.2% | 97% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 61% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 68.5% | 22.2% | 9.3% |
| xgboost | 78.1% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| logistic | 69.7% | 19.7% | 10.6% |
| Panathinaikos | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1732 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1732 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 0.83 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | FK Borac Banja Luka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Olympiacos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Olympiakos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Kalamata | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | PAE PS Kalamata | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | APS Zakynthos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Olympiacos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Atromitos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Atromitos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | Panathinaikos |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Panathinaikos | 2 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 - 1 | Panathinaikos |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Panathinaikos | 0 - 1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Panathinaikos | 2 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 28 Sep 2023 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 4 | Panathinaikos |
| 30 Jan 2023 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 0 | Panathinaikos |
| 09 Oct 2022 | Panathinaikos | 1 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Panathinaikos | 0 - 1 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 1 | Panathinaikos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 13.00 | 7.7% | 18 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.75 | 17.4% | 18 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 18 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 18 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 18 Oct 15:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 12.50 | 8.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.30 | 15.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |