| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.9% | 51% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.7% | 77% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.2% | 69% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 58% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.2% | 23.1% | 50.7% |
| xgboost | 26.6% | 21.3% | 52.1% |
| logistic | 27.1% | 26.1% | 46.8% |
| Ipswich | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1662 | 1782 |
| Surface Elo | 1662 | 1782 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Hull | 2 - 2 | D |
| 23 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Manchester City | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Fulham | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Everton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Sparta Prague | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Cardiff | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Leeds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Leeds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Aston Villa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Bournemouth | 1 - 2 | Ipswich |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | Bournemouth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.84 | 26.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.94 | 25.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |