| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.3% | 34% | +25.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 84.8% | 75% | +9.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.9% | 47% | +18.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 56% | +7.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.2% | 26.9% | 33.9% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 25.0% | 36.4% |
| logistic | 36.6% | 28.3% | 35.1% |
| Auxerre | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1601 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1601 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nice | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Lyon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Angers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Lens | 2 - 5 | L |
| 17 May | A | Lille | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Le Havre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Toulouse | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Le Mans | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 May | H | Angers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Auxerre | 3 - 0 | Brest |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Brest | 2 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Brest | 2 - 2 | Auxerre |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Auxerre | 3 - 0 | Brest |
| 14 May 2023 | Brest | 1 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | Brest |
| 11 Feb 2019 | Brest | 1 - 0 | Auxerre |
| 31 Aug 2018 | Auxerre | 0 - 2 | Brest |
| 09 Mar 2018 | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | Brest |
| 13 Oct 2017 | Brest | 1 - 1 | Auxerre |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.43 | 41.1% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.61 | 27.7% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.02 | 33.1% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 20 Sep 06:16 |