OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-29

🎾 tennis_atp_vienna_open · Thursday 29 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · scheduled

Arthur Fery 1.20 16:00 3.00 Lorenzo Musetti

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	63.9%	73%	-9.1%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	35.0%	64.9%
logistic	30.6%	69.4%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Arthur Fery	Lorenzo Musetti
Elo (pre-match)	1802	2030
Surface Elo	1802	2030
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	3.00
Form trend	-0.30	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Arthur Fery: last 5

26 Oct	H	Jacob Fearnley	1 - 0	W
20 Oct	H	Borna Gojo	0 - 2	L
09 Oct	A	Karen Khachanov	1 - 2	L
07 Oct	H	Marin Cilic	2 - 0	W
30 Aug	H	Ignacio Buse	0 - 2	L

Lorenzo Musetti: last 5

28 Oct	H	Frances Tiafoe	1 - 0	W
25 Oct	H	Taylor Fritz	2 - 0	W
25 Oct	H	Taylor Fritz	2 - 0	W
24 Oct	A	Flavio Cobolli	2 - 1	W
24 Oct	A	Flavio Cobolli	2 - 1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.27	30.6%	29 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.36	73.5%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.30	30.3%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.33	75.2%	29 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.40	29.4%	29 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.33	75.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.05	32.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.35	74.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.65	27.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.36	73.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Arthur Fery	3.75	26.7%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Lorenzo Musetti	1.38	72.5%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.49	28.6%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.32	75.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.10	32.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.36	73.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.30	30.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.34	74.6%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.20	31.2%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.35	74.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.22	31.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.34	74.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.65	27.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.36	73.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Arthur Fery	3.75	26.7%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Lorenzo Musetti	1.38	72.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.10	32.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.36	73.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.65	27.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.32	75.8%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.00	33.3%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.30	76.9%	29 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.37	73.0%	29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	3.20	31.2%	29 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.20	31.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.30	76.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	2.85	35.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.32	75.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.20	31.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.35	74.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.20	31.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.35	74.1%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.30	30.3%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.33	75.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.25	30.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.38	72.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fery	3.00	33.3%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Lorenzo Musetti	1.34	74.6%	29 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:02 UTC