| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.5% | 40% | +11.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.2% | 66% | +10.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.5% | 54% | +14.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 65% | +5.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.7% | 23.6% | 25.7% |
| xgboost | 53.8% | 27.4% | 18.7% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 25.8% | 26.0% |
| Trabzonspor | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1732 | 1675 |
| Surface Elo | 1732 | 1675 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Rizespor | 4 - 3 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Rizespor | 4 - 3 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Augsburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Augsburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Wolfsburg | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Bayern München | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Bayern München | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.81 | 35.6% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.78 | 26.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.51 | 39.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |