| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.7% | 88% | -10.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 78.1% | 21.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 87.5% | 12.5% |
| logistic | 79.8% | 20.2% |
| Gustavo Heide | Maximo Zeitune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1783 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1783 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Maximo Zeitune | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Diego Ortiz Gamonal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Federico Iannaccone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Gustavo Heide | 2 - 1 | Maximo Zeitune |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 06 Oct 06:15 |