| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 84.4% | 83% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.3% | 13.6% |
| logistic | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | Jacob Brumm | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1376 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1376 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | William Mirarchi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Maxwell Sheldon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Anuj Watane | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Henry Lieberman | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Alexander Rozin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Petroski Rocha, Pedro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Aug | H | Juan Sebastian Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jan | H | Pavle Marinkov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Omni Kumar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Apr | A | Igor Gimenez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.20 | 83.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |