| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.4% | 57% | +4.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.4% | 31.5% |
| logistic | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1744 | 1803 |
| Surface Elo | 1744 | 1803 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Max Dahlin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Jaume Munar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Jaume Munar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jul 2021 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0 - 2 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |