| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.8% | 97% | -22.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 97.0% | 2.9% |
| logistic | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Ugo Blanchet | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1579 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1579 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Daniel De Jonge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Massellani, Simone | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Benoit Torcq | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Romain Faucon | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.00 | 10.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.03 | 97.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |