OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Manchester United 1.00 1 - 1 0.40 Tottenham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 58.6%59%-0.3%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 82.0%83%-0.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 75.2%76%-0.9%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 51.7%65%-13.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson52.3%24.1%23.6%
xgboost69.1%16.7%14.1%
logistic69.2%19.6%11.2%
Inputs the models saw
Manchester UnitedTottenham
Elo (pre-match)17951596
Surface Elo17951596
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.40
Form trend0.10-0.10
Season points per game1.000.40
Season goals for / game1.600.40
Season goals against / game1.601.60
Rest days2021
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Manchester United: last 5
06 OctAAlfreton Town FC0 - 1L
03 OctAWorksop Town3 - 0W
20 SepAFulham1 - 1D
19 SepHOssett United4 - 1W
13 SepHManchester City0 - 1L
Tottenham: last 5
19 SepHAston Villa2 - 3L
12 SepHEverton0 - 0D
05 SepANottingham Forest0 - 0D
29 AugHNewcastle0 - 2L
22 AugABrentford0 - 3L
Head to head
07 Feb 2026Manchester United2 - 0Tottenham
08 Nov 2025Tottenham2 - 2Manchester United
16 Feb 2025Tottenham1 - 0Manchester United
29 Sep 2024Manchester United0 - 3Tottenham
14 Jan 2024Manchester United2 - 2Tottenham
19 Aug 2023Tottenham2 - 0Manchester United
27 Apr 2023Tottenham2 - 2Manchester United
19 Oct 2022Manchester United2 - 0Tottenham
12 Mar 2022Manchester United3 - 2Tottenham
30 Oct 2021Tottenham0 - 3Manchester United
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.5022.2%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.7357.8%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3842.0%10 Oct 17:30
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC