| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.3% | 69% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 70.0% | 29.9% |
| logistic | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Mika Brunold | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1659 | 1419 |
| Surface Elo | 1659 | 1419 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Dusan Obradovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | Mika Brunold |
| 25 May 2026 | Massimo Giunta | 0 - 2 | Mika Brunold |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 15 Sep 09:05 |