| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.2% | 72% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.6% | 71.2% |
| logistic | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| James Duckworth | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1730 | 1848 |
| Surface Elo | 1730 | 1848 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| Rest days | 9 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Miomir Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Ben Shelton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 0 | James Duckworth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |