| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.1% | 39% | +8.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 75% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.5% | 54% | +6.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 58% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 25.6% | 25.6% | 48.7% |
| xgboost | 37.8% | 27.0% | 35.2% |
| logistic | 40.3% | 27.7% | 32.1% |
| Ipswich | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1656 | 1664 |
| Surface Elo | 1656 | 1664 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 21 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Everton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Crystal Palace | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Manchester United | 2 - 5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Sunderland | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Hornchurch | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Leicester | 1 - 6 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Liverpool | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Fulham | 2 - 2 | Ipswich |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Ipswich | 1 - 1 | Fulham |
| 02 Jan 2018 | Fulham | 4 - 1 | Ipswich |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Ipswich | 0 - 2 | Fulham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.79 | 35.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |