| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.5% | 89% | -27.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 8.8% | 91.1% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1512 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1512 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 35 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | J.J. Wolf | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 0 - 2 | Patrick Maloney |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.12 | 89.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.60 | 17.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |