| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.4% | 47% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 77% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.7% | 65% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 57% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.1% | 25.7% | 21.2% |
| xgboost | 40.8% | 24.1% | 35.1% |
| logistic | 44.1% | 29.1% | 26.8% |
| Las Palmas | Eldense | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1411 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1411 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Marbella FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Oviedo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Real Oviedo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | RSD Alcala SAD | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Atletico Sanluqueno | 1 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Atletico Saguntino | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Granada | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Granada | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | CD Roda | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | CD Atletico Baleares | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |