| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.9% | 64% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.0% | 37.9% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 4 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Chun Hsin Tseng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Chun Hsin Tseng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Yaroslav Demin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Milos Karol | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sergi Perez Contri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Milos Karol | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |