| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.2% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DC | Home or away | 72.8% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.7% | 35.9% | 31.4% |
| xgboost | 34.2% | 24.7% | 41.1% |
| logistic | 33.7% | 30.1% | 36.2% |
| Burgos | Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | SD Almazan | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Granada | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Granada | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Almeria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Almeria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ceuta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Ceuta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Andorra | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Andorra | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||