| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.3% | 16% | +26.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 88% | -13.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.1% | 19% | +36.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.7% | 73% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.6% | 29.9% | 46.6% |
| xgboost | 41.2% | 21.0% | 37.7% |
| logistic | 34.6% | 28.3% | 37.1% |
| Stevenage | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1532 | 1684 |
| Surface Elo | 1532 | 1684 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 4.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Oxford Utd | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Leicester | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Leicester | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Newcastle | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Newcastle | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.60 | 15.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.31 | 76.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.33 | 30.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |