| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.7% | 43% | +3.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 74.7% | 73% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.7% | 60% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 56% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.8% | 29.2% | 42.0% |
| xgboost | 30.2% | 34.2% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 24.8% | 28.1% | 47.1% |
| Kifisia | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1501 | 1628 |
| Surface Elo | 1501 | 1628 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Panaitolikos Agrinio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Panetolikos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Atromitos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Atromitos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Levadeiakos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Volos NPS | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Volos NFC | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Iraklis | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Iraklis | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | PAOK | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Aris | 1 - 1 | Kifisia |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Kifisia | 0 - 1 | Aris |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Kifisia | 0 - 1 | Aris |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Aris | 1 - 1 | Kifisia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.78 | 56.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |