| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.7% | 63% | -4.6% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.3% | 87% | -5.5% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.6% | 81% | -5.7% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 63% | -8.0% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.3% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.1% | 27.2% | 26.6% |
| xgboost | 70.5% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| logistic | 60.7% | 24.3% | 15.0% |
| Castellon | Eibar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1618 | 1563 |
| Surface Elo | 1618 | 1563 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Burgos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Burgos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Elche | 5 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | UB Conquense | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Sporting Gijon | 4 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Deportivo Alaves B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Almeria | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Almeria | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Cordoba | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Cordoba | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 May 2026 | Castellon | 2 - 1 | Eibar |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Eibar | 0 - 0 | Castellon |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Castellon | 2 - 0 | Eibar |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Castellon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.10 | 19.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |