| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.7% | 60% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.3% | 73.6% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Benjamin Bonzi | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1765 | 1857 |
| Surface Elo | 1765 | 1857 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Rohan Murali | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 3 | Cameron Norrie |
| 04 Nov 2024 | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |