| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.7% | 62% | -3.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Robert Strombachs | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1521 | 1604 |
| Surface Elo | 1521 | 1604 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Viacheslav Ovchinnikov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Karan Singh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Branko Djuric | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Fares Zakaria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Vladyslav Orlov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Mathieu Scaglia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Adrien Gobat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |