| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | 36% | +17.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Jorge, Matilde | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 78 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| No results yet. |
| 29 Jun | H | Naomi Osaka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Emiliana Arango | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Jul | H | Linda Noskova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Astra Sharma | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 15 Sep 09:05 |