OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-05

🎾 tennis_atp_paris_masters · Thursday 05 November 2026, 14:10 UTC · scheduled

Nuno Borges 1.20 14:10 1.20 Ignacio Buse

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	54.5%	60%	-5.3%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	44.0%	56.0%
logistic	64.2%	35.8%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Nuno Borges	Ignacio Buse
Elo (pre-match)	1890	1800
Surface Elo	1890	1800
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.20
Form trend	-0.60	-0.90
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Nuno Borges: last 5

05 Nov	A	Ignacio Buse	2 - 0	W
04 Nov	H	Karen Khachanov	2 - 0	W
04 Nov	A	Karen Khachanov	2 - 0	W
03 Nov	A	Moise Kouame	2 - 0	W
01 Nov	H	Alex Molcan	0 - 2	L

Ignacio Buse: last 5

05 Nov	H	Nuno Borges	0 - 2	L
04 Nov	H	Daniil Medvedev	2 - 0	W
04 Nov	A	Daniil Medvedev	2 - 0	W
02 Nov	H	Zizou Bergs	2 - 0	W
02 Nov	H	Zizou Bergs	2 - 0	W

Head to head

05 Nov 2026

Ignacio Buse

0 - 2

Nuno Borges

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.27	44.0%	05 Nov 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.66	60.2%	05 Nov 06:01
888sport	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.30	43.5%	05 Nov 06:01
888sport	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.61	62.1%	05 Nov 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.35	42.5%	05 Nov 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.65	60.6%	05 Nov 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.12	47.2%	05 Nov 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.59	62.9%	05 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.42	41.3%	05 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.68	59.5%	05 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Ignacio Buse	2.48	40.3%	05 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Nuno Borges	1.70	58.8%	05 Nov 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.28	43.9%	05 Nov 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.68	59.5%	05 Nov 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.24	44.6%	05 Nov 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.66	60.2%	05 Nov 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.32	43.1%	05 Nov 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.67	59.9%	05 Nov 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.19	45.7%	05 Nov 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.65	60.6%	05 Nov 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.23	44.8%	05 Nov 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.66	60.2%	05 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.44	41.0%	05 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.68	59.5%	05 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Ignacio Buse	2.46	40.6%	05 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Nuno Borges	1.70	58.8%	05 Nov 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.24	44.6%	05 Nov 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.66	60.2%	05 Nov 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.38	42.0%	05 Nov 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.65	60.6%	05 Nov 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.12	47.2%	05 Nov 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.60	62.5%	05 Nov 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.25	44.4%	05 Nov 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.67	59.9%	05 Nov 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.15	46.5%	05 Nov 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.62	61.7%	05 Nov 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.10	47.6%	05 Nov 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.55	64.5%	05 Nov 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.23	44.8%	05 Nov 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.66	60.2%	05 Nov 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.23	44.8%	05 Nov 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.66	60.2%	05 Nov 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.30	43.5%	05 Nov 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.62	61.7%	05 Nov 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.20	45.5%	05 Nov 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.64	61.0%	05 Nov 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.10	47.6%	05 Nov 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	1.58	63.3%	05 Nov 06:01

Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC