| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.0% | 21% | +27.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.9% | 87% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.7% | 27% | +34.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.2% | 75% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 24.3% | 27.3% | 48.3% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 18.1% | 35.8% |
| logistic | 34.9% | 28.4% | 36.7% |
| Cove Rangers | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1417 | 1591 |
| Surface Elo | 1417 | 1591 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Fraserburgh | 5 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Ross County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Ross County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Alloa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Banks O´Dee FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Hibernian | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Hibernian | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Motherwell | 4 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Kilmarnock | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.70 | 21.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |