| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.2% | 62% | -14.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.6% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 51.9% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Ottawa Senators | Nashville Predators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1480 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1480 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.25 | 2.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 4 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 2 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 5 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Apr | H | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 5 | L |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Nashville Predators | 5 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 4 | Nashville Predators |
| 04 Feb 2025 | Nashville Predators | 2 - 5 | Ottawa Senators |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 1 | Nashville Predators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 10 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.44 | 41.0% | 10 Oct 20:20 |