| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.7% | 44% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 76% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.8% | 61% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 53% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.5% | 27.4% | 37.1% |
| xgboost | 36.0% | 26.2% | 37.8% |
| logistic | 30.2% | 29.2% | 40.6% |
| Charlton | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Watford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Watford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Burnley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Burnley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Bristol City | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | Bristol City | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Portsmouth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Portsmouth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Charlton | 0 - 1 | Norwich |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 1 - 0 | Charlton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.28 | 43.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.56 | 28.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.22 | 31.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.91 | 52.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.94 | 51.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |