| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.2% | 40% | +8.6% | |
| DC | Home or away | 78.4% | 80% | -2.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.5% | 53% | +7.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.6% | 68% | -6.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.3% | 24.9% | 34.7% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 19.4% | 30.9% |
| logistic | 47.0% | 24.9% | 28.1% |
| Boston Utd | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1407 | 1377 |
| Surface Elo | 1407 | 1377 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.29 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 2 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tamworth | 1 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tamworth | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Woking | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Woking | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | Scunthorpe |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Scunthorpe | 3 - 6 | Boston Utd |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Boston Utd | 1 - 1 | Scunthorpe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |