| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.2% | 75% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| logistic | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Daniel Milavsky | Blaise Bicknell | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1408 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1408 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Timo Legout | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Timo Legout | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Daniel Milavsky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Max Purcell | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Blaise Bicknell | 0 - 2 | Daniel Milavsky |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |