| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 79.4% | 70% | +9.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| logistic | 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1643 | 1962 |
| Surface Elo | 1643 | 1962 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Alexandre Muller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Alexandre Muller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| 20 Sep 2021 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |