| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.6% | 51% | +4.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1589 | 1584 |
| Surface Elo | 1589 | 1584 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 31 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Noskova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Lilli Tagger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Yeon Woo Ku | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Eva Lys | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Amanda Anisimova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Tamara Korpatsch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Talia Gibson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 0 | Lilli Tagger |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |