| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.3% | 81% | -5.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.1% | 21.8% |
| logistic | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alexandra Eala | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1743 | 1494 |
| Surface Elo | 1743 | 1494 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 18 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Han Shi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Tatiana Prozorova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Tatiana Prozorova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Iva Jovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mihalikova, Tereza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Alexandra Eala | 1 - 2 | Han Shi |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |