| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.5% | 60% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.4% | 38.5% |
| logistic | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| Filip Misolic | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1675 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1675 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Daniel Siniakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Max Houkes | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jacopo Vasami | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filippo Romano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | Michele Ribecai |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |